130. V.A. Thampi, C.T. Bauch, M. Anand (2019). `Socio-ecological mechanisms for persistence of native Australian grasses under pressure from nitrogen runoff and invasive species'. Ecological Modelling, 413:108830. [PDF]
129. M.C. Fitzpatrick, C.T. Bauch, J.P. Townsend, A.P.Galvani (2019). `Modelling microbial infection to address global health challenges'. Nature microbiology, 4(10):1612-1619.
128. P.V.S. Souza, R. Silva, D. Girardi, C.T. Bauch (2019). `Cooperation in a generalized age-structured spatial game'. Journal of theoretical biology, 109995.
127. R. Sigdel, M. Anand, C.T. Bauch (2019). `Convergence of socio-ecological dynamics in disparate ecological systems under strong coupling to human social systems'. Theoretical ecology, 12(3):285-296.
126. T. Bury, C.T. Bauch, M. Anand (2019). `Charting pathways to climate change mitigation in a coupled socio-climate model'. PLOS computational biology, 15(6): e1007000.
125. S. Nowack, C.T. Bauch, M. Anand (2019). `A local optimization framework for addressing conservation conflicts in mosaic ecosystems'. PLOS One, 14(5):e0217812.
124. S. Bhattacharyya, A. Vutha, C.T. Bauch (2019). `The impact of rare but severe vaccine adverse events on behaviour-disease dynamics: a network model'. Scientific reports, 9(1): 7164.
123. M.A. Andrews, C.T. Bauch (2019). `Parameterizing a dynamic influenza model using longitudinal versus age-stratified case notifications yields different predictions of vaccine impacts'. Mathematical biosciences and engineering, 16(5): 3753-3770.
122. B. Morsky, C.T. Bauch (2019). `The impact of truncation selection and diffusion on cooperation in spatial games'. Journal of theoretical biology, 466: 64-83.
121. Z. Dockstader, C.T. Bauch, M. Anand (2019). `Interconnections accelerate collapse in a socio-ecological metapopulation'. Sustainability, 11(7): 1852.
120. S. Rizvi, C. Pagnutti, E. Fraser, C.T. Bauch, M. Anand (2018). `Global Land Use Implications of Dietary Trends'. PLOS ONE, 13(8): e0200781.
119. S. Zhao, C.T. Bauch, D. He (2019). `Strategic decision making about travel during disease outbreaks: a game theoretical approach'. Journal of the royal society interface, 15(146): 20180515.
118. R.L. Cordero, M. Suma, S. Krishnan, C.T. Bauch, M. Anand (2019). `Elements of indigenous socio-ecological knowledge show resilience despite ecosystem changes in the forest-grassland mosaics of the Nilgiri Hills, India'. Palgrave communications, 4(1): 105.
117. P.C. Jentsch, M. Anand, C.T. Bauch (2018). `Spatial correlation as an early warning signal of regime shifts in a multiplex disease-behaviour network'. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 448: 17-25.
116. D.R. Grimes, C.T. Bauch, J.P.A. Ioannidis (2018). `Modelling science trustworthiness under publish or perish pressure'. Royal Society Open Science, 5 (1):171511.
115. T. Oraby, C.T. Bauch, M. Anand (2018). `The Environmental Kuznets Curve Fails in a Globalized Socio-Ecological Metapopulation: A Sustainability Game Theory Approach'. Handbook of Statistics, 39: 315-341.
114. J. Pharaon, C.T. Bauch (2018). `The Influence Of Social Behavior On Competition Between Virulent Pathogen Strains'. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 455: 47-53.
113. V.A. Thampi, M. Anand, C.T. Bauch (2018). `Socio-ecological dynamics of Caribbean coral reef ecosystems and conservation opinion propagation'. Scientific reports, 8 (1): 2597.
112. O.H. Menin,C.T. Bauch (2018). `Solving the patient zero inverse problem by using generalized simulated annealing'. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications, 490:1513-1521.
111. A.D. Pananos, T.M. Bury, C. Wang, J. Schonfeld, S.P. Mohanty, B. Nyhan, M. Salathé, C.T. Bauch (2017). `Critical dynamics in population vaccinating behavior'. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, 114(52): 13762-13767.
110. N. Ringa C.T. Bauch (2017). `Spatially-implicit modelling of disease-behaviour interactions in the context of non-pharmaceutical interventions', Mathematical Biosciences and Engineerings, 15(2):461-483.
109. R.P. Sigdel, M. Anand, C.T. Bauch (2017). `Competition between injunctive social norms and conservation priorities gives rise to complex dynamics in a model of forest growth and opinion dynamics'. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 432:132-140.
108. B. Morsky, R. Cressman, C.T. Bauch (2017). `Homophilic replicator equations'. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 75(2):309-325.
107. S. Tully, M. Cojocaru, C.T. Bauch (2017). `Multiplayer games and HIV transmission via casual encounters'. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 14(2):359-376.
106. K.R. Fair, C.T. Bauch, M. Anand (2017). `Dynamics of the global wheat trade network and resilience to shocks'. Scientific reports, 7.
105. K. Jnawali, B. Morsky, C.T. Bauch (2017). `Strategic interactions in antiviral drug use during an influenza pandemic', PLOS Currents Outbreaks, 12 January 2017.
104. A. Levin, C. Burgess, L. Garrison, C.T. Bauch, J. Babigumira (2017). `Economic evaluation of measles eradication study: results for six countries and by income groups'. Report for World Health Organization.
103. C.T. Bauch, R. Sigdel, J. Pharaon, M. Anand (2016). `Early warning signals of regime shifts in coupled human-environment systems'. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, 113(51):14560-14567.
102. K. Henderson C.T. Bauch, M. Anand (2016). `Alternative stable states and the sustainability of forests, grasslands and agriculture'. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, 113(51):14552-14559.
101. A.P. Galvani, C.T. Bauch, M. Anand, B.H. Singer, S.A. Levin (2016). `Human-environment interactions in population and ecosystem health'. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, 113(51):14502-14506.
100. D. Durham, M.L. Ndeffo Mbah, L. Skrip, F.K. Jones, C.T. Bauch, A. Galvani (2016). `The national and state level impact and cost-effectiveness of nonavalent HPV vaccination in the US'. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, 113(18):5107-5112.
99. C.T. Bauch, R. McElreath (2016). `Disease dynamics and costly punishment can foster socially imposed monogamy'. Nature communications, 7:11219.
98. Z. Wang, C.T. Bauch, S. Bhattacharyya, A. d'Onofrio, P. Manfredi, M. Perc, N. Perra, M. Salathe, D. Zhao (2016). `Statistical physics of vaccination'. Physics Reports,664:1-113.
97. M. Andrews, C.T. Bauch (2016). `The impacts of simultaneous disease intervention decisions on epidemic outcomes' Journal of Theoretical Biology, 395:1-10.
96. K. Jnawali, B. Morsky, K. Poore, C.T. Bauch (2016). `Emergence and spread of drug resistant influenza: a two-population game theoretical model'. Infectious Disease Modelling, 1(1):40-51
95. B. Morsky, C.T. Bauch (2016). `Truncation selection and payoff distributions applied to the replicator equation'. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 404:383-390.
94. K. Henderson, M. Reis, C. Blanco, V.D. Pillar, R. Printes, C.T. Bauch, M. Anand (2016). `Landowner perceptions of the value of natural forest and natural grasslands in a mosaic ecosystem in southern Brazil'. Sustainability science, 11(2):321-330.
93. M. Yodzis, C.T. Bauch, M. Anand (2016). `Coupling fishery dynamics, human health, and social learning in a model of fishborne pollution exposure'. Sustainability science, 11(2):179-192.
92. M. Andrews, C.T. Bauch (2015). `Disease interventions can interfere with one another through disease-behaviour interactions'. PLOS Computational Biology 11(6): e1004291. Google Scholar
91. C. Murall, C.T. Bauch, T. Day (2015). `Could the human papillomavirus vaccines drive virulence evolution?' Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B 282: 20141069. Google Scholar
90. Q. Ali, C.T. Bauch, M. Anand (2015). `Coupled human-environment dynamics of forest pest spread and control in a multi-patch, stochastic setting'. PLOS ONE 10(10):e0139353. Google Scholar
89. Z. Wang, M.A. Andrews, Z-X. Wu, L. Wang, C.T. Bauch (2015). `Coupled disease-behavior dynamics on complex networks: a review'. Physics of Life Reviews 15:1-29. Google Scholar [PDF]
88. D.M. Vickers, A. Anonychuk, P. DeWals, N. DeMarteau, C.T. Bauch (2015). `Evaluation of serogroup C and ACWY meningococcal vaccine programs: projected impact on disease burden according to a two-strain dynamic model'. Vaccine 33: 268-275. Google Scholar
87. T. Oraby, C.T. Bauch (2015). `Bounded rationality alters the dynamics of paediatric immunization acceptance'. Scientific reports 5: 10724. Google Scholar
86. S. Bhattacharyya, C.T. Bauch, R. Breban (2015). `Role of word-of-mouth for programs of voluntary vaccination: a game-theoretic approach'. Mathematical biosciences, 269:130-134. Google Scholar
85. K.D. Poore, C.T. Bauch (2015). `The impact of aggregating serogroups in dynamic models of Neisseria meningitidis transmission'. BMC Infectious Diseases, 15: 300. Google Scholar
84. S. Tully, M. Cojocaru, C.T. Bauch (2015). `Sexual behaviour, risk perception, and HIV transmission can respond to HIV antiviral drugs and vaccines through multiple pathways'. Scientific reports 5: 15411. Google Scholar
83. E. Thommes, A. Ismaila, A. Chit, G. Meier, C.T. Bauch (2015). `Cost-effectivenss evaluation of quadrivalent influenza vaccines for seasonal influenza prevention: a dynamic modeling study of Canada and the United Kingdom'. BMC Infectious Diseases 15: 465. Google Scholar
82. S. Bhattacharyya, C.T. Bauch (2015). `Parental decisions unfold in layers during a vaccine scare: insights from measles vaccine uptake data.' JSM Mathematics and Statistics 2(1): 1007. Google Scholar
81. T. Oraby, C.T. Bauch (2014). `The influence of social norms on dynamics of paediatric vaccinating behaviour'. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B 281:20133172. Google Scholar
80. N. Ringa, C.T. Bauch (2014).`Impacts of constrained culling and vaccination on control of foot and mouth disease in near-endemic settings: a pair approximation model'. Epidemics 9:18-30. Google Scholar
79. N. Ringa, C.T. Bauch (2014).`Dynamics and control of foot-and-mouth disease in endemic countries: a pair approximation model'. Journal of Theoretical Biology 357:150-159. Google Scholar
78. E. Thommes, A. Chit, G. Meier, C.T. Bauch (2014).`Examining Ontario's universal influenza immunization program with a multi-strain dynamic influenza model'. Vaccine 32:5098-5117. Google Scholar [PDF]
77. L. Barlow, J. Cecile, C.T. Bauch, M. Anand (2014).`Modelling interactions between forest pest invasions and human decisions regarding firewood movement restrictions'. PLOS ONE 9(4):e90511. Google Scholar
74. C. Murall, K.S. McCann, C.T. Bauch (2014). `Revising ecological assumptions about human papillomavirus interactions and type replacement'. Journal of Theoretical Biology 350:98-109. Google Scholar
75. A.L. Epspindola, D. Girardi, T.J.P. Penna, C.T. Bauch, B.C.T. Cabella, A.S. Martinez (2014). `An antibiotic protocol to minimize emergence of drug-resistant tuberculosis' Physica A 400:80-92. Google Scholar
74. C.T. Bauch, A.P. Galvani (2013). `Social factors in epidemiology'. Science 342:47-49. Google Scholar
73. C.T. Bauch, T. Oraby (2013). `Assessing the pandemic potential of MERS-CoV'. The Lancet 382:662-664. Google Scholar
72. C.R. Wells, E. Klein, C.T. Bauch (2013). `Policy resistance undermines superspreader vaccination strategies for influenza'. PLoS Computational Biology 9(3):e1002945. Google Scholar
71. S. Bhattacharyya, C.T. Bauch (2013). `Emergent dynamical features in behavior-incidence models of vaccinating decisions'. pp. 243-254, in: Modeling the interplay between human behavior and the spread of infectious diseases, Springer-Verlag. Google Scholar
70. C.T. Bauch, A. d'Onofrio, P. Manfredi (2013). `Behavioral epidemiology of infectious diseases: an overview'. pp. 1-19, in: Modeling the interplay between human behavior and the spread of infectious diseases, Springer-Verlag. Google Scholar
69. C. Pagnutti, C.T. Bauch, M. Anand (2013). `Outlook on a worldwide forest transition'. PLoS ONE 8(10): e75890. Google Scholar
68. C. Innes, M. Anand, C.T. Bauch (2013). `The impact of human-environment interactions on the stability of forest-grassland mosaic ecosystems'. Scientific reports 3: 2689. Google Scholar
67. K.A. Henderson, M. Anand, C.T. Bauch (2013). `Carrot or stick? Modelling how landowner behavioural responses can cause incentive-based forest governance to backfire'. PLoS ONE 8(10): e77735. Google Scholar
66. S. Tully, M. Cojocaru, C.T. Bauch (2013). `Coevolution of risk perception, sexual behaviour and HIV transmission in an agent-based model'. Journal of Theoretical Biology 337:125-132. Google Scholar
65. C.T. Bauch, S. Bhattacharyya (2012). `Evolutionary game theory and social learning can determine how vaccine scares unfold'. PLoS Computational Biology 8(4): e1002452. Google Scholar
64. A. Charpentier, M. Anand, C.T. Bauch (2012). `Variable offspring size as an adaptation to environmental heterogeneity in a clonal plant species: integrating experimental and modeling approaches'. The Journal of Ecology 100(1):184-195. Google Scholar
63. C.L. Murall, K.S. McCann, C.T. Bauch (2012). `Food webs in the human body: linking ecological theory to viral dynamics'. PLoS ONE 7(11): e48812. Google Scholar
62. M. Ndeffo, J. Liu, C.T. Bauch, Y.I. Tekel, L.A. Meyers, A. Galvani (2012). `The impact of imitation on vaccinating behavior in social contact networks'. PLoS Computational Biology 8(4): e1002469. Google Scholar
61. S. Tully, A.M. Anonychuk, D.M. Sanchez, A.P. Galvani, C.T. Bauch (2012). `Time for change? An economic evaluation of integrated cervical screening and HPV immunization programs in Canada'. Vaccine 30: 425-435. Google Scholar
60. C. Wells, C.T. Bauch (2012). `The impact of personal experiences with infection and vaccination on behaviour-incidence dynamics of seasonal influenza'. EPIDEMICS 4:139-151. Google Scholar
59. J.M. Tchuenche, C.T. Bauch (2012). `Can culling to prevent monkeypox be counter-productive? Scenarios from a theoretical model'. Journal of Biological Systems 20(3):259-283. Google Scholar
58. J.M. Tchuenche, C.T. Bauch (2012). `Dynamics of an infectious disease model where media coverage influences transmission'. ISRN Biomathematics 2012:article ID 581274. Google Scholar
57. S. Bhattacharyya, C.T. Bauch (2012). `Mathematical models of the interplay between individual vaccinating decisions and disease dynamics: a need for closer integration of models and data'. Human Vaccines and Immunotherapeutics 8(6): 842-844. Google Scholar
56. A. Espindola, T.J.P. Penna, C.T. Bauch , D. Girardi, A.S. Martinez, B.C.T. Cabella (2012). `Exploration of the parameter space in an agent-based model of tuberculosis spread: emergence of drug resistance in developing versus developed countries'. International Journal of Modern Physics C 23(6). Google Scholar
55. B. Morsky, C.T. Bauch (2012). `Outcome inelasticity and outcome variability in behavior-incidence models: an example from an SIR infection on a dynamic network'. Computational and mathematical methods in medicine vol. 2012:article ID: 652562. Google Scholar
54. D.M. Cornforth, T.C. Reluga, E. Shim, C.T. Bauch, A.P. Galvani, L.A. Meyers (2011). `Erratic flu vaccination emerges from short-sighted behavior in contact networks'. PLoS Computational Biology 7(1): e1001062. Google Scholar
53. A. Levin, C. Burgess, L.P. Garrison, C.T. Bauch, J. Babigumira, E. Simons, A. Dabbagh (2011). `Global eradication of measles: an epidemiologic and economic evaluation'. Journal of Infectious Diseases 204(Suppl 1): S98-S106. Google Scholar
52. J.B. Babigumira, A. Levin, C. Burgess, L.P. Garrison, C.T. Bauch, F. Braka, W.B. Mbabazi, J. Nabyonga, E. Simons, A. Dabbagh (2011). `Assessing the cost-effectiveness of measles elimination in Uganda: local impact of a global problem'. Journal of Infectious Diseases 204(Suppl 1): S116-S123. Google Scholar
51. L.P. Garrison, C.T. Bauch, B.W. Bresnahan, T.K. Hazlet, S. Kadiyala, D.L. Veenstra (2011). `Using cost-effectiveness analysis to support R&D portfolio prioritization for product innovation in measles vaccination'. Journal of Infectious Diseases 204(Suppl 1): S124-S132. Google Scholar [PDF]
50. S. Bhattacharyya, C.T. Bauch (2011). `Wait and see vaccinating behaviour during a pandemic: a game theoretic analysis'. Vaccine 29(33):5519-5525. Google Scholar
49. C.R. Wells, J.M. Tchuenche, L. Ancel-Meyers, A.P. Galvani, C.T. Bauch (2011). `Impact of imitation processes on the effectiveness of ring vaccination'. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 73(11): 2748-2772. Google Scholar
48. T. Fitzpatrick, C.T. Bauch (2011). `The potential impact of budget re-allocation on global eradication of paediatric infectious diseaes'. BMC Public Health 11: 739. Google Scholar
47. U.J. Dang, C.T. Bauch (2011). `Can interactions between timing of vaccine-altered pandemic waves and seasonality in influenza complications lead to more severe outcomes?' PLoS ONE 6(8):e23580. Google Scholar
46. B. Pham, M. Hong-Chen, A.C. Tricco, A. Anonychuk, M. Krahn, C.T. Bauch (2012). `Use of a catalytic model to estimate hepatitis A incidence in a low endemicity country: implications for modeling immunization policies'. Medical Decision Making 32(1):167-175. Google Scholar
45. J.M. Tchuenche, N. Dube, C.P. Bhunu, R.J. Smith, C.T. Bauch (2011). `The impact of media coverage on the transmission dynamics of human influenza'. BMC Public Health 11(Suppl 1): S5. Google Scholar
44. S. Wong, M. Anand, C.T. Bauch (2011). `Agent-based modelling of clonal plant propagation across space: recapturing fairy rings and other real-world phenomena'. Ecological Informatics 6: 127-135. Google Scholar
43. A.L. De Espindola, C.T. Bauch, B.C.T. Cabella, A.S. Martinez (2011). `An agent-based computational model of the spread of tuberculosis'. Journal of statistical mechanics: theory and experiment, P05003. Google Scholar
42. C.T. Bauch, M. Li, G. Chapman, A. Galvani (2010). 'Adherence to cervical screening in the era of human papillomavirus vaccination: how low is too low?' The Lancet Infectious Diseases 10:133-137. Google Scholar
41. S. Bhattacharyya, C.T. Bauch (2010). `A game dynamic model for delayer strategies in vaccinating behaviour for pediatric infectious diseases'. Journal of Theoretical Biology 267(3): 276-282. Google Scholar
40. C.T. Bauch, S. Bhattacharyya, R. Ball (2010). 'Rapid emergence of free-riding behaviour in new pediatric immunization programs'. PLoS ONE 5(9): e12594. Google Scholar
39. S. Totton, A. Wandeler, J. Zinnstag, C.T. Bauch, C. Ribble, R. Rosatte, S. McEwan (2010). 'Stray dog population demographics in Jodhpur, India following a population control/rabies vaccination program' Preventive Veterinary Medicine 97(1): 51-57. Google Scholar
38. U. Dang, C.T. Bauch (2010). 'A population biological approach to the collective dynamics of countries undergoing demographic transition'. Journal of Theoretical Biology 265:167-176. Google Scholar
37. E. Szusz, L. Garrison, C.T. Bauch (2010). 'A review of data needed to parameterize dynamic models of measles in developing countries.' BMC Research Notes 3:75. Google Scholar
36. H. Muller, C.T. Bauch (2010). 'When do sexual partnerships need to be accounted for in transmission models of human papillomavirus?' International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 7(2):635-650. Google Scholar
35. P. Caplat, M. Anand, C.T. Bauch (2010). 'Modelling invasibility in endogenously oscillating tree populations: timing of invasion matters.' Biological Invasions 12: 219-231. Google Scholar
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33. A. Anonychuk, C.T. Bauch, M Fikre Merid, N Demarteau, G Van Kriekinge, B. Pham (2009). 'A cost utility analysis of cervical cancer vaccination in preadolescent Canadian females'. BMC Public Health 9: 401. Google Scholar
32. C.T. Bauch, A. Anonychuk, T. van Effelterre, B.Z. Pham, M. Fikre Merid (2009). Incorporating herd immunity effects into cohort models of vacccine cost-effectiveness. Medical Decision Making 29(5): 557-569. Google Scholar
31. S. Moghadas, T. Day, C.T. Bauch, S. Driedeger, F. Brauer, A. Greer, P. Yan, J. Wu, N. Pizzi, D. Fisman (2009). 'Modeling of pandemic influenza: a guide for the perplexed'. Canadian Medical Association Journal, 171:181-183. Google Scholar
30. C.T. Bauch , E. Szusz, L. Garrison (2009). 'Scheduling of measles vaccination campaigns in low-income countries: projections of a dynamic model.' Vaccine 27(31): 4090-4098. Google Scholar
29. A. Perisic, C.T. Bauch (2009). 'A simulation analysis to characterize dynamics of vaccinating behaviour on contact networks.' BMC Infectious Diseases 9: 77. Google Scholar
28. M. Cojocaru, C.T. Bauch (2009). 'Vaccination strategy dynamics of population groups with distinct perceived probability of infection'. Journal of inequalities in pure and applied mathematics 10(1). Google Scholar
27. F. Jarafgholi, C.T. Bauch (2009). `A partnership network simulation of the spread of sexually transmitted infections in Russia'. In: `Advances in disease epidemiology', Nova Science Publishers, pp. 59-100.
26. L. Montopoli, S. Bhattacharyya, C.T. Bauch (2009). `The free-rider problem in vaccination policy and implications for global eradication of infectious diseases: a two-country game dynamic model'. Canadian Applied Mathematics Quarterly 17(2): 317-338. Google Scholar
25. C.T. Bauch (2008). 'Wealth as a source of density dependence in human population growth'. Oikos 117:1824-32. Google Scholar
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22. M. Golinski, C.T. Bauch , M. Anand. (2008) 'The effects of endogenous ecological memory on population stability and resilience in a variable stochastic environment'. Ecological Modelling 212: 334-341. Google Scholar
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19. P. Caplat, M. Anand, C.T. Bauch (2008) 'Symmetric competition causes population oscillations in an individual-based model of forest dynamics'. Ecological Modelling 211:491-500. Google Scolar
18. C.T. Bauch (2008) `The role of mathematical models in explaining recurrent outbreaks of infectious childhood diseases'. In: `Mathematical Epidemiology', Publisher: Springer Verlag--Lecture Notes in Mathematics, Mathematical Biosciences Subseries, Volume 1945. Google Scholar
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2. C.T. Bauch (2002). 'A Versatile ODE Approximation to a Network Model for Sexually Transmitted Disease Spread'. Journal of Mathematical Biology 45(5): 375-395. Google Scholar
1. C.T. Bauch and D. Rand (2000). 'A Moment Closure Model for Sexually Transmitted Disease Spread Through a Concurrent Partnership Network'. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B 267: 2019-2027. Google Scholar